摘要
本文运用2003-2014年中国对中东欧16国OFDI以及3位SITC编码的200多种产品出口贸易数据，采用Haussmann等（2007）的方法测度中国对中东欧16国出口技术复杂度，以两国人均GDP、贸易距离、出口总值以及合作机制等数据作为控制变量，实证检验OFDI对出口贸易转型升级的影响。分析表明，中国对中东欧16国OFDI显著促进了对该区域出口贸易的转型升级，而且中国人均GDP、出口总值均起到不同程度的促进作用。同时“16＋1合作”作为中国首次进行次区域合作机制，显著提升了OFDI对出口贸易转型升级的促进作用。
By using the OFDI of China to Central and Eastem Europe and 3- digit SITC code, we obtain more than 200 kinds of product export data over the period 2003 to 2014. We adopt the method of Haussmann et at. （2005） to exam- ine China＇s export technical complexity to Central and Eastern Europe. To ex- plore the influence of China＇s OFDI upon the export trade transformation and up- grade, this paper uses per capita GDP, trade distance, gross export value and co- operative mechanism as control variables. Empirical results reveal that China＇s OFDI to Central and Eastem Europe greatly promote the transformation and up- grade of our export trade with those areas. Specifically, China per capita GDP and gross export have more or less promoting effects. As the first mechanism of sub-regional cooperation, ＂16＋ 1 cooperation＂ has significantly promoted export trade transformation and upgrade lead by OFDI.
基金
中国社会科学院欧洲研究所创新工程项目"欧洲经济竞争力研究"(2015OZSCX001)
