摘要
2016年前三季度,国际油价完成阶段性的探底回升以后进入上行通道,在第三季度初转为区间横盘震荡。文章从供需基本面、美元走势、地缘政治事件和宏观经济等角度回顾了前三季度的油价走势,并在综合考虑各项不确定因素的前提下,对第四季度的国际油价变化趋势进行了展望。
In the first three quarters of 2016, international oil price entered into ascending channel after finishing a periodical bottom rebound, and then turned to horizontal price movement in a certain range at the beginning of the third quarter. The article reviews the development trends of international oil price in the first three quarters from the points of supply-demand fundamentals, U.S. dollar trend, geopolitical events and macro-economy. And under the premise of synthesizing various indefinite factors, it forecasts the development trends of international oil price in the fourth quarter.
出处
《当代石油石化》
CAS
2016年第10期1-6,共6页
Petroleum & Petrochemical Today
关键词
国际油价
分析预测
供需形势
宏观经济
地缘政治
international oil price
analysis and prediction
supply-demand situation
macro-economy
geopolitics
