摘要
在鲍莫尔非均衡增长模型的基础上,引入流通和生产的需求互补特性假设,并将工业部门区分为生产职能部门和流通职能部门。利用面板固定效应模型和空间面板杜宾模型对2002-2013年的省份面板数据进行实证分析发现,生产和流通对流通环节就业占比和经济发展表现出木桶效应,流通环节就业占比的提高和经济发展速度的加快需要以流通环节劳动生产率增长速度的相对减缓为代价;另外,变量之间存在空间相关性,对流通环节就业占比而言,显现出劳动力的区域溢出效应和流通环节劳动力的需求端跨区域传导效应,对经济发展而言,则显现出需求端的空间负向传导效应和供给端的空间正向溢出效应。为此,宜进一步深化流通环节改革,提升市场化水平,实现流通环节的健康发展。
Based on the Baumol unbalanced growth model,this paper introduces the demands complementary hypothesis of production and circulation,and divides the industrial sector into the production function department and circulation function department. Then the paper constructs the provincial panel data from 2002 to 2013. Using the fixed effect model and panel data spatial Durbin model,the empirical analysis finds out that there did exist cask effect for the production and circulation to circulation employment ratio and economic development. To speed up the circulation employment ratio and the economic development,it requires a relatively slower speed of the circulation labor productivity growth rate. In addition,there is spatial correlation between the variables,for the circulation employment ratio,there exists labor regional spillover effect and the circulation labor regional demand transmission effect,for the economic development,there exists negative spatial transmission effect of the demand side and positive spatial spillover effect of the supply side.
出处
《产经评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第5期78-89,共12页
Industrial Economic Review
关键词
工业中生产职能与流通职能
外部流通服务业部门
鲍莫尔非均衡增长模型
production function and circulation function in industry
external circulation service sector
Baumol unbalanced growth model
