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网络舆论反转效应研究 被引量:38

Studies on Online Public Opinion Inversion Effect
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摘要 本文研究了近年来频发的网络舆论反转现象,综合多学科、多视角研究现状,归纳出网络舆论反转的三种形态,基于社会物理学提出了网络舆论反转的定义,并分析了网络舆论反转的原因。通过对2013-2016年41起网络舆论反转事件从舆论引爆点、初始舆论、舆论反转点、最终舆论等方面进行深入分析,综合原因、时间、效果三个维度归纳出网络舆论反转的四种类型,即单中心V型反转、双中心N型反转、螺旋式S型反转和次生舆论U型反转。提出了运用结构平衡理论来研究反转前后舆论状态的变化,并对"N"型反转类型中"成都男司机暴打女司机"事件进行了量化分析。 This paper studies the phenomenon of online public opinion inversion that often occurrs in recent years, with muhi-disciplina- ry and multi-perspective research integrated, summarizes three forms of online public opinion inversion, presents the definition of online public opinion inversion, and analyzes the causes of online public opinion inversion based on social physics. By exploring 41 events of online public opinion inversion from 2013 to 2016 through in-depth analysis of opinion tipping point, initial public opinion, turning points and final opinion, this paper concludes four types of online public opinion inversion: single center V-shaped inversion, double center N-shaped inversion, spiral S-shaped inversion and secondary center U-shaped inversion from three dimensions, namely reasons, time and effects. Structural balance theory is proposed to study the change of public opinion around inversion, and the event of "a male driver beating a female driver in Chengdu" which belongs to double center N-shaped inversion is quantitatively analyzed.
作者 黄远 刘怡君
出处 《管理评论》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第8期71-78,共8页 Management Review
基金 国家自然科学基金项目(71573247 91024010 91324009) 中国科学院青年创新促进会项目(2014139)
关键词 网络舆论反转 社会物理学 反转类型 m平衡 online public opinion inversion, social physics, inversion form, m-balance
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