摘要
考虑到居民消费水平受不同年龄段人口消费差异的影响,本文通过对居民消费的分解与加权汇总,构建出包含社会抚养比与人均可支配收入的居民人均消费函数,利用我国1995年至2014年的经济数据对该函数进行实证分析,并估算抚养比、人口年龄结构对我国居民人均消费水平的影响。分析结果表明:少儿年龄段人口的消费能力最强,老年年龄段人口消费能力最弱,少儿抚养比对居民人均消费的影响强度更大;除了2014年外,我国年龄结构的变化降低了居民人均消费水平和消费倾向。
Considering differentiated consumption behavior in different age groups, this paper develops a theoretical framework to study household consumption based on social dependency ratio and per capita disposable income, using the decomposition and weighted ag-gregation of household consumption and allowing for variations in consumption behavior across age groups. It makes an empirical analy-sis by employing Chinese data over 1995-2014, which sheds fresh light on how dependency ratio and age structure influences the per capital consumption in Chinese households. We find that children 's consumption composes the greatest part of the consumption of families, whereas the elderly consume the least. As a result, child dependency ratio dramatically affects the per capita consumption at the household level and changes in age structure decreases Chinese household 's propensity to consume except in 2014.
出处
《金融评论》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第2期39-48,124-125,共10页
Chinese Review of Financial Studies
关键词
年龄结构
抚养比
居民人均消费
Age Structure
Support Ratio
Household Per Capita Consumption
