摘要
采用2003—2013年统计数据,对广东水产品出口和渔业经济总产值之间的关系进行实证研究。在统计分析方面,测算了广东水产品出口依存度、贡献率和拉动度,结果显示水产品出口对渔业经济增长具有促进作用,但是这种促进表现不稳定且不高;在计量分析方面,运用单位根检验、协整检验、Granger因果检验和回归分析,结果表明,水产品出口和渔业经济总产值之间具有长期稳定的均衡关系,水产品出口对渔业经济具有有限的拉动作用。制约广东水产品出口的原因主要有进口国提高水产品技术性贸易壁垒、省内水产品市场集中以及市场结构不合理。提出提高水产品出口质量、开发高附加值产品以及做强做大水产品第二产业等相应的政策建议。
Using statistical data during 2003-2013, we study aquatic products export contribution to fisheries economic growth in Guangdong Province. In terms of statistical analysis, export dependency, export contribution rate and pull rate of aquatic products in Ghandong Provincewere calculated.The results shows that the aquatic products export has a positive impact on fisheries economic growth, but this impact is not stable and is not high.In the terms of quantitative analysis, unit root test, co-integration test, Granger causality test and regression analysis are used, the results show that there is a long term stable equilibrium relationship between aquatic products export and fisheries economic growthand aquatic products export has a limited effect on stimulating the fisheries economic growth. Then the reasons of restricting the Guangdong aquatic products export are analyzed: the technical barrier of trade from import countries,Guangdong market concentration and unrensonable market structure.At last, some ralated policies and Suggestions are proposed, for example,improving aquatic products quality,developing high additional value products and making the aquatic products secondary industry powerful.
出处
《广东海洋大学学报》
CAS
2016年第2期9-14,共6页
Journal of Guangdong Ocean University
基金
2016年广东大学生科技创新培育项目(pdjh2016a0227)
广东海洋大学"创新强校工程"特色创新项目"广东高端海洋产业发展机制及应对策略"(GDOU2015050227)
关键词
水产品出口
渔业经济产值
计量分析
拉动有限
aquatic products export
fisheries economic growth
quantitative analysist
limited effect
