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基于均值-AS模型的资产配置 被引量:11

Asset allocation based on mean-AS model
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摘要 AS指标是诺贝尔经济学奖得主Aumann与其合作者Serrano近期基于不确定条件下的选择理论提出的新的风险度量指标,具有诸多优点,被学者们广泛关注.本文基于均值-AS模型研究了正态分布和一般分布下的资产配置问题.在正态分布下,得到了组合边界的解析式,深入探讨了组合边界的特征.在一般分布下,将AS指标的矩估计式嵌入均值-AS模型,实现了风险估计与投资组合优化同步进行.在较弱的条件下,证明了均值-AS模型是凸优化问题,可基于迭代思想设计算法得到模型的数值解.蒙特卡洛模拟结果表明该模型和算法准确有效.最后,基于中国A股市场数据给出了实例分析. The AS index is a new risk measure put forward recently by Aumann and Serrano who are inspiredby the theory of choice under uncertainty. It has many advantages over other risk measures andattracts many scholars. In this paper,we consider an asset allocation problem with the Mean-AS model under normal distribution and general distribution assumption,respectively. In the former case,we obtain an analytical expression of portfolio frontier and thoroughly discuss the characteristics of portfolio frontier. In the latter case,we embody the AS moment estimator into the Mean-AS portfolio optimization model and implement risk estimation and portfolio optimization simultaneously. Under very mild conditions,we prove that the Mean-AS model is a convex optimization problem and an iterative algorithm can be designed to obtain its numerical solution. Monte Carlo simulation results show that the Mean-AS model and our algorithm are accurate and effective. Finally,an empirical case of stock portfolio in Chinese A-stock market is illustrated.
作者 曾燕 黄金波
出处 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第2期95-108,共14页 Journal of Management Sciences in China
基金 国家自然科学基金重点资助项目(71231008) 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71201173 71571195) 广东省自然科学杰出青年基金资助项目(2015A030306040) 广东省自然科学基金资助项目(S2013010011959) 广州市哲学社会科学"十二五"规划资助项目(15Q20) 中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2014M562246)
关键词 均值-AS模型 AS指标 组合边界 矩估计 mean-AS model AS index portfolio frontier moment estimator
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