摘要
文章在使用贸易结合度指数和引力模型的基础上,运用1994-2013年中国与澳大利亚双边货物贸易数据,分析了中国与澳大利亚之间的贸易现状、贸易互补性和贸易潜力。研究结果表明:中国与澳大利亚之间的贸易规模、贸易互补性和贸易潜力都在不断扩大。但是从贸易平衡的角度来看,中国一直处于逆差国的地位,且逆差额越来越大,尤其表现在初级产品方面。从贸易结合度指数来看,中国对澳大利亚的贸易结合度总体呈上升趋势,表明中国与澳大利亚之间的贸易依存度是逐渐增强的。从贸易潜力分析的结果来看,两国之间的贸易潜力还没完全发挥出来,双边贸易关系还存在很大的提升空间。
Using the trade combination index and gravity model, this article mainly analyses the current trade situation, trade combination and trade potentiality between China and Australia based on the Panel Data from 1994 to 2013. Our study comes to the following conclusions： the bilateral trade bctween China and Austral- ia is vast in scale and is still growing rapidly. But from the perspective of trade balance, China has been a deficit country for a long time, the deficit amount is expanding, especially in primary products. From the degree of trade combination index, trade dependence between China and Australia is gradually enhanced. The trade poten- tiality analysis shows that the trade potentiality between the two countries have not fully played out, the bilateral trade relations also has a vast promotion space.
出处
《亚太经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第6期85-90,共6页
Asia-Pacific Economic Review
关键词
引力模型
双边贸易
贸易互补性
贸易潜力
Gravity Model, Bilateral Trade, Trade Combination Index, Trade Potentiality
