摘要
地震模式受制于学术思想和科技水平,并随时间演化。研究了从"弹性回跳说"以来的演化轨跡:仅考虑震源区(断层段)→震源区和周围构造相互作用→地壳上部脆性层和深部韧性层与上地幔间的耦合→将地震视为现今大陆变形动力系统自组织演化过程的一种行为。百年演化总趋势是从震源到"动力系统"。特征为:模式时空域扩大、维数上升;从还原论、机械论到整体论、演化论;从经典力学到复杂系统理论及非线性动力学;新模式包容并超越已有模式,向大自然的本性逐渐接近。受益于地震大地测量学观测成就,关联性强的跨学科新地震模式正在探索与成长中。
Earthquake models are restricted to the academic and scientific level; further, they evolve over time. We researched the history of earthquake model evolution., models that consider only the hy- pocenter region （fault zone）→models that consider hypocenter region together with surrounding tec- tonics→models that consider upper crust brittle layer and deep crust ductile layers coupling with upper mantle→models that consider the earthquake as an activity of present continental deformation dynamic system＇s self-organization evolution process. The evolutionary trend is from hypocenter to dynamic system over a hundred years. Its characteristics are. time-space domain expands, dimension rises of the models; from reductionism mechanism to holism; from classical mechanics to complex system the- ory and nonlinear dynamics; new models contain and surpass old models, and are better approaching nature. Benefitting from the unprecedented achievements of seismic geodesy, strong correlativity and interdisciplinary methods, new earthquake models are developing.
出处
《大地测量与地球动力学》
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第6期911-918,共8页
Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics
基金
中国地震局地震研究所所长基金
关键词
地震模式
震源
动力系统
现今大陆变形动力系统模式
地震大地测量学
地震预测
earthquake models
hypocenter
geodynamics
present continental deformation dynamicsystem model
seismic geodesy
earthquake prediction
