摘要
基于宏观总生产方程和交通设施微观供需模型结合的联立方程模型,选取2004—2012年福建省时间序列数据,对福建省交通基础设施与经济增长的关系以及该省交通基础设施对经济增长的贡献率进行计量分析和测度。研究结果表明:交通基础设施与经济增长确实存在双向因果关系;交通基础设施对经济增长具有显著促进作用,贡献率为0.182。
Based on simultaneous equations model combined with the macroscopic equation of total production and transportation facilities microscopic model of supply and demand ,selecting the time series data 2004—2012 in Fujian province ,we research on the relationship between the province’s transportation infrastructure on economic grow th as well as the quantitative analysis and measurement about the contribution rate of between the province’s transportation infrastructure on economic growth .The results show that there is a two‐way causal relationship between transport infrastructure and economic growth . Meanwhile ,transport infrastructure in Fujian province plays a significant role in economic growth ,which has rate of 0.182 .
出处
《交通科技与经济》
2015年第5期10-14,共5页
Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(61472093)
关键词
交通基础设施
经济增长
联立方程模型
内生性
福建经济发展
transportation infrastructure
economic grow th
simultaneous equations model
endogenous
Fujian
