摘要
围绕深证指数分类法和《国民经济行业分类》(GB/T4754—2011),对周期性行业进行范围界定,并进一步以1990-2014年为研究区间。对我国周期性行业在总体规模、占比地位、行业分布、并购态势等方面的演进轨迹展开实证研究。研究表明:周期性行业总体规模稳步增长,占比地位举足轻重;各细分行业演进轨迹特征分明,工业、制造业占比排名领先;周期性行业并购市场量价齐升,产业转型升级提速。
On the basis of Shenzhen Index Classification and National Economical Industry Classification(GB/T4754- 2011) in China, this paper defines the scope of cyclical industry and studies empirically its evolution path in overall size, position, industry distribution and M&A situation from 1990 to 2014. The main results are as follows: Firstly, the overall size of cyclical industry has been growing steadily and playing an important role in economics. Secondly, the subdivided industries have their distinct evolution paths, and the proportion of industry and manufacturing industry rank ahead of others. Thirdly, the performance of cyclical industrial M&A market is active and industrial upgrading is speeding up.
出处
《改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第9期53-62,共10页
Reform
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目"混合所有制改革中周期性公司估值模型的理论修正与实践调整研究"(批准号:15CGL013)
关键词
周期性行业
产业结构调整
产业经济发展
periodic industry, adjustment of industry structure, development of industry economy