摘要
中国企业在"走出去"获取"两种资源、两个市场"的过程中经历了很多国家风险。探索中国海外投资面临的国家风险的评价方法,建立海外投资国家风险评价体系,包括政治风险、经济风险、金融风险3个一级指标和22个二级指标。通过专家打分融入国内专家对时局的判断后,利用层次分析思想确定一、二级指标权重。利用ICRG 2014年1月的原始数据计算出140个国家和地区的风险得分,由此得出对于中国企业具有现实意义的结论:亚洲国家和地区风险水平参差不齐,欧洲国家和地区风险整体水平最低,非洲国家和地区风险整体水平最高,美洲国家和地区风险整体水平较稳定;风险最低的国家和地区主要集中在亚洲和欧洲,其中发达国家和地区占67%,发展中国家和地区占33%。最后,对中国企业海外投资给出了建议。
In the process of acquiring ＂two kinds of resources and two kinds of markets＂through ＂going out＂,Chinese enterprises have experienced a lot of country risks. The evaluation methods of country risk faced by overseas investment of China are explored,and the evaluating system of country risk of overseas investment is established,which includes 3 first-level indicators of political risks,economic risks,financial risks and 22 second-level indicators. After integrating the judgments on the status quo of domestic experts through expert scoring,the weights of first-level and second-level indicators are decided by applying the thoughts of analytic hierarchy process. The scores of country risks of 140 countries and regions are calculated by using the original data of ICRG in January,2014,and conclusions are drawn with practical significance to Chinese enterprises. The level of country risks of Asian countries and regions is irregular,the level of country risks of European countries and regions is the lowest,the level of country risks of Africa countries and regions is the highest,and the level of country risks of American countries and regions is stable; the lowrisk countries and regions are mainly in Asia and Europe,including 67% developed countries and regions and 33% developing countries and regions. Finally,suggestions are proposed on overseas investment of Chinese enterprises.
出处
《沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2015年第4期304-311,共8页
Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Sciences)
基金
沈阳市科技计划项目(F12-276-5-11)
