摘要
在计算2001—2013年辽宁省能源消费碳足迹的基础上,应用STIRPAT模型进行回归函数拟合分析,探讨了主要人文因素对碳足迹变化的影响,并通过脱钩指数进一步分析了经济增长与碳足迹之间的动态变化关系。结果表明:辽宁省能源消费碳足迹呈现波动上升的趋势;在各能源消费类型的碳足迹构成中,煤所占比重最大,石油次之,天然气所起的作用甚微;人口数量和经济发展水平是碳足迹的主要影响人文因素;经济增长与碳足迹之间处于脱钩—复钩的波动状态。
This paper calculated the carbon footprint from 2001 to 2013 in Liaoning Province. Then,regression function for STIRPAT model was applied to study the human dimensions influencing factors. The deeoupling index was introduced to further explore the dynamic relationship between economic growth and carbon footprint. The results showed that ： ① The carbon footprint change of energy consumption presented a fluctuated rising trend in Liaoning Province. ②For carbon footprint composition of each type of energy consumptions, coal and oil occupied the dominant position while natural gas was of little effect. ③The population and level of economic development were the main factors of carbon footprint of energy consumption. ④Eeonomic growth and carbon footprint were either in the state of relative decoupling or in recoupling.
出处
《资源开发与市场》
CAS
CSSCI
2015年第9期1096-1099,共4页
Resource Development & Market
基金
教育部人文社科规划基金资助项目(编号:13YJA790111)
辽宁省人文社科重点研究基地专项项目(编号:ZJ2014030)
关键词
能源消费碳足迹
STIRPAT模型
脱钩指数
辽宁省
carbon footprint of energy consumption
STIRPAT model
decoupling index
Liaoning Province
