摘要
自重返亚太战略出台以来,美国一直努力推动其亚太联盟的转型,其战略是给予盟友更大的战略自主性,推动后者承担更多的责任,以减轻自身的战略负担。在此基础上,美国坚定地增加对盟友的承诺,给予其战略再保证,以威慑对手。然而,在国家实力相对下降的前提下,美国可能没有能力兑现其盟友骤然增长的战略承诺要求,文章将这一困境称为美国亚太联盟体系中的承诺难题。这一难题会导致盟友自主性上升,使得美国陷入承诺陷阱,其主要表现是美国承诺边界将会拓展、承诺与战略成本出现螺旋上升和外交政策存在虚张声势三个方面。为了解决承诺难题,美国在现实政策中采取了美日同盟的再平衡、亚太联盟网络化和制度化三种措施,然而这些措施仍然存在一些隐患。
Since initiating its rebalance strategy towards Asia-Pacific region,the United States has consistently pushed to transform its alliance system in Asia-Pacific.The American approach is to reduce its own strategic burden by giving more strategic independence to allies and encouraging them to take on more responsibility.Then the U.S.strengthens its level of commitment to them.However,given its relative decline,the U.S.probably does not have the capacity to honor such a dramatic increase in its commitments.We can call this the 'commitment problem' of the U.S.alliance system in Asia-Pacific.This problem will result in higher levels of autonomy on the part of its allies,and will force America to face a commitment trap with the following three characteristics;expansion of American commitments' border,spiraling strategic costs of these commitments,and a danger of bluffing in foreign policy.In order to resolve the commitment problem,the U.S.has rebalanced its security relationship with Japan,and has networked and institutionalized the alliance system in Asia-Pacific.
出处
《当代亚太》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第3期4-28,156,共25页
Journal of Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies
关键词
亚太再平衡
联盟转型
承诺难题
美日同盟
Rebalance Strategy
Alliance Transformation
Commitment Problem
U.S.-Japanese Alliance
