摘要
当前环境问题日益受到人们的关注,其中温室气体排放是近年来国际社会关注的重点之一.温室气体减排与对外贸易、金融发展等主要变量之间的关联性尚未得到深入研究.利用1982～2011年的数据对碳排放、对外贸易、金融发展、能源消耗、经济增长等主要影响因素之间的关系进行实证研究,通过ARDL边限检验法对各个变量之间的长期协整关系进行检验,得出长期关系和短期误差修正模型.研究结果表明金融深化对碳排放的影响是非线性倒U型关系,能源消耗与碳排放量之间呈正相关关系,经济增长与碳排放量之间的关系满足环境库兹涅茨曲线,贸易开放与排放量之间呈负相关关系,对外贸易并未引起污染转移.中国应该积极参与国际分工,推动金融向有益于碳减排的方向发展.
Nowadays more and more people pay attention to the environmental problems, among which green house gas emission is of special concern. There is no further research on the correlation between greenhouse gases emission and the main effective economic factors, such as foreign trade and financial development. The study examines the linkages among carbon emission, foreign trade, energy consumption, economic growth and financial development over the period from 1982 to 2011 in China with ARDL bounds testing approach. At last we get the long-term coefficient and short- term error correction model. The result shows that the impact of financial development on carbon emission is being the U shape, there has the positively relationship between energy consumption and carbon emissions, while the impact of the trade openness is negative for carbon emission, and foreign trade doesn＇t cause pollution transfer, the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions meet the Environmental Kuznets Curve. Thus, we should actively participate in international division of labor and push forward financial development toward carbon mitigation.
出处
《生态经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第6期59-64,共6页
Ecological Economy
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(09BJL046)
江苏省社会科学项目(13SQC-037)
关键词
贸易开放度
金融发展
能源消耗
碳排放
经济增长
trade openness
financial development
energy consumption
carbon emission
economic growth
