摘要
基于海南省2003-2013年统计年鉴的统计数据,运用协整关系分析、格兰杰因果检验法分析海南省流通业发展和居民消费的关系。分析得出,海南省流通业发展和居民消费存在长期均衡关系,在短中期内居民消费是流通业发展的格兰杰原因,在长期内两者不存在因果关系。
Based on the statistical data from 2003 to 2013 from statistical yearbook of Hainan Province,the co- integration test and Granger causality test have been adopted to analyze the development of circulation Industry and the residents’ consumption in Hainan Province. The results indicate that there is a long- run equilibrium relationship between the circulation industry and the residents’ consumption. In the short to medium term,the residents’ consumption is the granger reason for the development of circulation Industry. But there is no causal relationship between them in the long term.
出处
《物流工程与管理》
2015年第1期184-186,共3页
Logistics Engineering and Management
关键词
海南
流通业发展
居民消费
Hainan
the development of circulation industry
the residents’ consumption
