摘要
文章基于20082012年中国健康与养老追踪调查（CHARLS）的微观面板数据，通过估计动态资产积累路径检验农村家庭是否存在贫困陷阱。结果显示，通过资产积累脱离贫困的家庭比例高于因资产减少而滑入贫困的家庭比例；农村家庭资产积累曲线呈现凹性，资产收敛于一个稳态均衡点，说明中国农村家庭资产并不存在多重均衡的贫困陷阱；家庭特征、地理资本等变量对家庭资产变动有显著影响；当负向冲击来临时，社区工作机会及社会资本吸收了一些负向冲击效应，可及性金融市场减缓资产积累下降速度的作用尤为明显。
Based on the micro-panel data of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS) from 2008 to 2012.this paper estimates the dynamic path of asset accumulation to test the existence of a poverty trap in rural China.The results show that the proportion of households escaping poverty through asset accumulation is higher than the proportion of those declining into poverty through asset depletion.The estimated dynamic asset accumulation paths display the concavity and assets converge to a stable equilibrium.It means that there is no evidence for multiple equilibria poverty trap in rural China.The variables of household characteristics and geographic capital have a significant effect on asset growth.When negative shocks are coming,labour opportunities of community and social capital absorb some negative effects.The increase in access to the financial market has a significant effect on the reduction of capital accumulation's declining.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第6期71-83,127-128,共13页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
基金
山东省社会科学规划研究项目“财政流动、转移支付及其减贫效率”(14BJJJ02)的阶段性成果
