摘要
本文通过构建局部均衡模型分析了污染对劳动力供给的影响,并利用中国1998年-2010年省级面板数据进行了实证分析。根据模型推导的结果,污染对劳动力供给的影响分为"替代效应"和"收入效应",且"替代效应"占主导。实证研究结果表明,空气污染对劳动力供给确实存在负向影响,二氧化硫污染排放量上升1%,将导致劳动力供给减少0.028%,但是这种影响随着经济规模的不同而有所变化,存在"门槛效应"。在经济欠发达地区,污染对劳动力供给的"收入效应"占主导;在经济发展一般的地区,则地缘因素占主导;在经济发达地区,"替代效应"占主导。
This paper is based on the partial equilibrium model to analyze the impact of air pollution on effective labor supply, and does the empirical research of Chinese provincial panel data from 1998 to 2010. The impacts of air pollution on la- bor supply are divided into ＂substitute effect＂ and ＂income effect＂, and ＂substitute effect＂ dominants according to the deriva- tion of the model. The empirical results show that pollution indeed has a negative effect on labor supply. It shows that when Sulfur dioxide pollution rose one percent, the labor supply will lead to a decrease of 2. 8% and this effect differs from the scales of economy. There may be certain of ＂threshold effect＂. In the underdeveloped area, ＂income effect＂ dominants, in the normal-develop area, the factor of geography dominants and in the developed area, ＂substitute effect＂ dominants. At last, we give the conclusions and political suggestions.
出处
《中国经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第5期67-77,共11页
China Economic Studies
关键词
空气污染
有效劳动力供给
局部均衡模型
air pollution
effective labor supply
partial equilibrium model
