摘要
随着中国发展理念里程碑式的重大转变和人口的全面发展,"人口-经济-社会-环境"巨系统协调发展的状况成为了衡量发展质量的核心。本研究从系统解构"人口-经济-社会-环境"入手,构建由人口系统因子、人口-经济因子、人口-社会因子以及人口-环境因子共4个方面组成的综合评价体系,并在此基础上运用因子分析法针对重庆市进行案例研究。结果表明,1)人口要素是"人口-经济-社会-环境"巨系统中的重要基础性要素,在经济社会发展综合评价研究中应当给予充分重视;2)人口发展状况的优劣与城镇化水平高度相关;3)重庆市工业企业的"环保搬迁"以及资源枯竭型城市转型的社会、经济、环境的综合效益显著。本文深化了人口发展内涵的理论认识,并为重庆市人口发展状况的动态评估,促进相关部门的科学考核提供参考与借鉴。
Along with the significant change of development concept, the integrated development of population, that is the harmoni- ous development of “Population-Economy Society-Environment” macro system, becomes the centre of quality development measure- ment. This article starts from the systemically deconstruction of “PESE”, and then build the comprehensive evaluation system which is composed by population system factor, population-economy system factor, population-society system factor and population- environment system factor. And on this basis, this article does a case study in Chongqing using the factor analysis. This article is of great theoretical significance and practical value. The results show that： 1） population plays a very important role in “PESE” sys- tem. It is worth to pay much attention to it in comprehensive assessments. 2） The population development status is highly correla ted with urbanization level. 3） The social-economical-environmental comprehensive benefits of the removal of industrial enterprises and development transition of resource-exhausted city are remarkable. This article deepens the theoretical understanding of the connotation of population deveiopment, sets an exampie for dynamic assessment for the Chongqing＇s population development, and promotes the scientific assessment for relevant denartments.
出处
《重庆师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第5期68-75,F0003,共9页
Journal of Chongqing Normal University:Natural Science
基金
国家自然科学基金(No.51308575)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金(No.12YJCZH055)
重庆市基础与前沿研究计划项目(No.cstc2013jcyjA00012)
重庆市2012年度人口发展战略研究项目
重庆师范大学校立青年基金研究项目(No.2011XWQ05)
关键词
“人口-经济-社会-环境”
人口发展状况
因子分析
重庆
“Population Economy-Society-Environment” （PESE）
population development status
factor analysis
Chongqing
