摘要
基于灰色系统理论的灰关联分析(GRA)与GM(1,1)预测模型对贵州省旅游业发展进行了分析与预测研究。研究结果表明:与贵州旅游业发展相关联的4个内部影响因素由大到小分别为:旅游资源条件、旅游服务设施、旅游基础设施以及旅游接待设施;灰色预测GM(1,1)模型预测则显示贵州省旅游业将保持快速增长。最后针对研究结果提出了相关建议。
In this paper,we were used the Grey System Theory to study the development of regional tourism industry.We analyzed and forecasted the development of tourism industry of Guizhou by using the Grey Relational Analysis （GRA） and the Grey GM （1,1） model respectively.The result shows that the four internal factors which have an effect on the tourism industry of Guizhou from large to small sequencing is followed by tourism resources,tourism service facilities,tourism infrastructure and tourism reception facilities.The forecast result of Grey GM （1,1） model shows that the tourism industry will grow rapidly in the near future.The suggestions are proposed in the end.
出处
《贵州师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2014年第4期99-104,120,共7页
Journal of Guizhou Normal University：Natural Sciences
基金
贵州省民委
贵州师范大学民族地理研究专项基金([2013]09)
