摘要
正确认识科学、技术和经济三者之间的关系,把握科学技术和经济发展间相互作用的规律,有着极其重要的理论和实际意义。基于此背景,本文从科学与技术交互的视角,运用向量自回归模型、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解的方法,试图对我国科学、技术和经济产出三者间的动态关系进行模型分析。研究结论显示,科学产出和技术产出之间相互促进;相比技术产出,科学产出可以更好地促进经济产出;经济产出促进技术产出的效果要好于对科学产出的促进作用;进一步得出,"科学-技术"交互效应是存在的,并且对经济产出具有重要推动作用,经济发展情况对"科学-技术"交互效应的实现也有着重要影响。
Understanding correctly the relationship among science,technology and economy,and grasping the law of interaction between science and technology and economic development have an extremely important theoretical and practical significance. In fact,a large number of studies usually concentrate on the relationship among science,technology and economy independently,but they do not pay enough attention to the relationship between the "scientific & technical"interaction and economic development. Based on this background,this paper stands at the perspective of the separation of science and technology firstly,and uses the method of Granger causality test to explore the relationship among science,technology and economy. Then from the perspective of the interaction between science and technology,this paper uses the expanded Cobb Douglas production function,vector autoregressive model,impulse response function and variance decomposition method to measure the dynamic relationship of science,technology and economy output in China and demonstrate between the "scientific & technical"interaction and economic development. The scientific output data of this research comes from the Web of Science database and the Chinese CSCD database,and the technical output data comes from the China Statistical Yearbooks on Science and Technology( 1991-2017),and the economic output data comes from the China Statistical Yearbooks( 1991-2017),and the interaction between science and technology is obtained by product term of them. The conclusions show that scientific output is the Granger cause of technical output,and technical output is also the Granger cause of scientific output. It means that scientific output and technological output can promote each other. Scientific output is the Granger cause of economic output,but technical output is not the Granger cause of economic output. Compared with technological output,scientific output can better promote economic output. Economic output is not the Granger cause of scientific output,but in the long run,
作者
陈悦
宋超
徐芳
Chen Yue;Song Chao;Xu Fang(Institute of Science of Science and S&T Management and WISE Lab, Dalian University of Technology,Dalian 116024,Liaoning,China;Institute of Science and Development,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100090,China)
出处
《科研管理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第1期12-21,共10页
Science Research Management
基金
辽宁省经济社会发展研究课题:"基于双螺旋协同创新理论的辽宁省科技创新能力提升对策研究"(2017lslktyb-043
2017.01-2018.09)
国家自然科学基金:"基于证据链的学术影响力定量评价方法研究"(71771205
2018.01-2021.12)
关键词
科学产出
技术产出
经济产出
“科学-技术”交互视角
向量自回归模型
scientific output
technological output
economic output
"Science -Technology"interactive perspective
vector autoregressive model
