摘要
预测某一问题的方法不是唯一的,本文应用灰色系统理论对内蒙古奈曼旗沙区的人口、牲畜、沙漠化土地面积三个重要经济指标建立了GM(1,1)预测模型进行预测分析,并用多元线性回归方法来讨论、研究其三者之间的相互关系,给该旗当前的综合治理和沙漠化整治提供一点分析论证的参考依据,同时给出了通用性较强、具有一定难度的数值处理的程序设计。
The Method of forecastting a some problem is not unit, We see it has something to do with the way put the problem and data constraetion of problem. In this paper we use grey system theory to set up GM(1, 1) forecastting model of Naiman Banner's population, livestock, desertified area important economics three tragets go on forecast and analysis' moreover use multivariate linear regression method todiscuss and research mutual relation of this three tragets. This will to be provided of analysis and proofing reference basis for that Naiman Banners present comprehensive harness and deserted renovate. At the same time gives a numerical treatment programming possess the properties stronger commonly and fairly degree of difficulty.
出处
《内蒙古师范大学学报（自然科学汉文版）》
CAS
1991年第4期13-19,共7页
Journal of Inner Mongolia Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
关键词
沙漠化
灰色系统
预测模型
Grey System, GM(1,1) Forecastting Model, Linear Regression
