摘要
亚太区域经济合作迅猛发展,台湾与亚太区域主要经济体有着密切的经贸联系,如果台湾被排除在主要的区域经济协定如TPP与RCEP之外,可能面临"产业链断裂"的严重后果,这也成为台湾寻求参与亚太区域经济一体化安排的重要动力。文中采用最新的贸易增加值数据(Value Added),去除贸易重复计算的弊端,再通过贸易投资统计、贸易依存度、投资紧密度、出口相似度指数(ESI)与显示性比较优势指数(RCA),描述还原贸易真像后台湾产业最实际的竞争力,同时展示了台湾与亚太主要经济体真实的经贸关系,并通过GTAP模型预测台湾参与亚太区域经济一体化安排的效益差异。为台湾参与亚太区域经济一体提供了可行性路径,即深化ECFA效应与打造两岸四地"中华自贸区"整体参与。
The economic cooperation in the Asia-Pacific area has been developing rapidly.Taiwan of China has a very close economic and trade relationship with the main economies in the Asia-Pacific area,which becomes the basic driving force for Taiwan to seek ways to participate in the regional integration arrangement.This paper discusses Taiwan＇s economic and trade relationships with the main economies in the Asia-Pacific area through the trade and investment statistics,the Dependence of Trade Index,the Investment Tightness Index,Export Similarity Index and Revealed Comparative Advantage Index.The paper also predicts the benefits for Taiwan＇s participating in the regional integration arrangement with the GTAP model.
出处
《云南师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第4期127-136,共10页
Journal of Yunnan Normal University：Humanities and Social Sciences Edition
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"全球价值链视角下的两岸产业合作研究"(13YJAGAT001)
对外经济贸易大学2013年研究生科研创新项目(201330)阶段性成果
关键词
台湾经济关系
亚太主要经济体
亚太区域经济一体化安排
贸易增加值数据
GTAP
Taiwan＇s economic relationships
main economies in the Asia-Pacific area
regional inte-gration arrangement
data of trade growth
GTAP
