摘要
是否"脱钩"是近年来中美经济关系的一个重要话题,支持者和反对者皆有。在2008年国际金融危机前后,"脱钩论"的主要内容是中国及东亚新兴经济体脱离美国等发达国家而独立发展。2010年以来,随着美国经济复苏、中国经济趋缓,"脱钩论"演变成美国对中国的带动作用减弱,以及全球生产网络"去中国化"。从全球生产网络的视角看,中美经济脱钩在短期内不会真正发生,但中国不能忽视脱钩的长期可能性以及美国"排除中国"的政策企图。
"Decoupling" is the source of a great deal of controversy in the China-U. S. economic relationship. Before and after the global financial crisis in 2008, many commentators in the debate argued that emerging economies, including China, had decoupled from U. S. and other developed economies business cycle and become more independent. With the economic recovery in U. S. and slowdown in China after 2010, the debate has become that the effect of U. S. recovery on China was weakened and the role of China in global production network was fade. This paper suggests that the decoupling between China and U. S. will not become reality in short term on the perspective of global production network, but there is still a possibility of decoupling in long term and U. S. foreign policy with a purpose of "Crowding out China"
出处
《中国人民大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第4期50-58,共9页
Journal of Renmin University of China
基金
对外经济贸易大学学科建设专项经费资助项目"中美经济是否会脱钩?--基于全球生产网络的分析"(XK2014126)
关键词
中美经济关系
脱钩
新兴经济体
全球生产网络
China-U.S.economic relationship
deeoupling
emerging economies
global production network