摘要
为研究环京津贫困区耕地面积变化对农民收入的影响,采用保定市7个贫困县的1997—2011年统计资料对两者关系进行了实证研究。首先采用聚类分析法对7县进行区域划分,然后通过构建面板数据模型分析了耕地面积与农民收入的关系及区域差异。结果表明,3个区域(山区、环京和近京区域)均显示耕地面积与农民人均纯收入之间存在长期的均衡关系;山区区域农民人均纯收入与耕地面积呈正相关关系,而环京和近京区域两者关系均呈负相关关系;两者的关系在区域内部各县之间存在差异;区域间农民人均纯收入增长幅度也存在差异。耕地数量与农民收入的正负向关系及差异原因与农民的收入来源及收入结构关系密切,并与其资源禀赋、区位条件和社会经济条件等有关。
To study the farmers＇ income as affected by the areal change of cultivated land resources in the poverty areas around Beijing and Tianjin Cities,statistical data of seven poverty-stricken counties in Baoding City from 1997to 2011were used to verify the relationship between the two.The seven counties were zoned to be three regions using cluster analysis method,the relationship between cultivated land resources and farmers＇ income was analyzed,and the regional differences were studied using panel data model.Results indicate that in the three regions（mountainous area,Beijing＇s surrounding area and Beijing＇s nearby area）, there exists a long-term equilibrium relationship between the cultivated land area and the rural per capita net income.In the mountainous area,the rural per capita net income and cultivated land area are positively correlated,while in the Beijing＇s surrounding area and Beijing＇s nearby area,negatively correlated.Moreover, the relationship between the two indicators is different within every region,and there are also differences in the growth rate of rural per capita net income in different areas.The positive or negative relationship between the amount of cultivated land and farmers＇ income are closely related to farmers＇ income source and income structure,and also related to regional resource endowments,geographic conditions and socio-economic conditions.
出处
《水土保持通报》
CSCD
北大核心
2014年第2期255-261,共7页
Bulletin of Soil and Water Conservation
基金
河北省软科学研究计划项目"环京津贫困地区退耕农户土地利用转型调查及经济收入转型模拟研究"(114072172D)
河北省社会科学发展研究项目(201203073)
河北省社会科学基金项目(HB12SH044)
保定市哲学社会科学基金项目(201201185)
关键词
耕地资源
农民收入
面板数据模型
环京津贫困区
cultivated land resource
farmers＇ income
panel data model
poverty area around Beijing and Tian-jin Cities
