摘要
Using numerical model simulations, global surface temperature is projected to increase by l^C to 4~C during the 21 st century, primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases. In the present study, a predictive technique incorporating driving forces into an observation time series was used to project the global mean surface temperature under four representative sce- narios of future emissions over the 21st century.
Using numerical model simulations,global surface temperature is projected to increase by 1°C to 4°C during the 21st century,primarily as a result of increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases.In the present study,a predictive technique incorporating driving forces into an observation time series was used to project the global mean surface temperature under four representative scenarios of future emissions over the 21st century.
基金
supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.40890052 and 41275087)
