摘要
随着中日实力地位逆转、美国战略东移,日本的防卫战略开始发生质变。安倍内阁2013年内将出台战后第5个《防卫计划大纲》,未来10年内日本军力很可能增强一倍以上。这将从根本上重新审视和改变二战后日本的防卫政策。通过对日本海上行为规则和防空识别圈设定的深入挖掘,我们发现日本正逐步放宽交战规则的调整,安倍内阁意图挑战二战后国际秩序的姿态也愈发明显。为允许自卫队行使集体自卫权,安倍晋三分别从战略和法律层次对日本的安全机制进行调整,日本版NSC亦是呼之欲出。短期而言,日本将修改对宪法的解释。中长期而言,宪法第96条将有可能被修改,进而导致修改宪法第九条的门槛大幅降低。
With the reversal of Sino-Japan position of strength and America's strategic shift towards Asia,Japan's defense strategy began to change qualitatively.By studying the rules of maritime behavior and the setting of ADIZ,we can see that Japan is gradually widening the adjustment of rules of engagement,and the Abe Cabinet is more and more apparent in challenging the international order after World War II.In order to exercise the right of collective self-defense,Abe has been adjusting Japan's security mechanism from the strategic level and the legal level,and the Japanese version of NSC is ready to come out.In the short term,Japan will modify the interpretation of the Constitution.In the long term,Article 96will likely be modified,which will lead to the lowering of the threshold to amending Article 96of the Constitution.
出处
《国际论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第1期58-64,81,共7页
International Forum
基金
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大攻关项目"世界主要国家安全体制机制研究"(项目号11JZD046)
清华大学985三期重点项目资助阶段性研究成果
