摘要
根据新疆霍尔果斯口岸1988年～2011年进出口总额和货物周转量年度时间序列数据,运用协整检验、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解等方法,分析霍尔果斯口岸对外贸易与现代物流两者之间的关系.结果表明,霍尔果斯口岸对外贸易与现代物流之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,且前者对后者的促进作用要大于后者对前者的促进作用.基于此,对霍尔果斯口岸发展现代物流和促进对外贸易增长提出了相关建议.
Based on annual time-series data of total import and export cargo turnover of Xinjiang Horgos port during the period of 1988-2011, and by using cointegration test, impulse response functions and variance decomposition, this paper ana- lyzes the relationship between foreign trade and modern logistics of Horgos port. The results show that there exists a long- term stable equilibrium between Horgos Port＇s foreign trade and modern logistics and the former promotes the latter more sig- nificantly than the latter promotes the former. Based on this corresponding ？？recommendations are made for developing mod- em logistics and promoting foreign trade growth of Horgos port.
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2013年第9期44-47,共4页
基金
新疆维吾尔自治区普通高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地兵团屯垦经济研究中心项目"中国新疆与中亚国家贸易合作研究"(编号:XJEDU020212C04)
关键词
对外贸易
现代物流
协整检验
脉冲响应函数
方差分解
foreign trade
modem logistics
cointegration test
impulse response function
variance decomposition
