摘要
运用计量经济学的方法对粮食产量和粮食价格波动进行了实证研究。结果表明,粮食产量和粮食价格之间存在相互影响的关系,彼此之间对对方的变化都存在着滞后效应,而且价格变化对产量变化的影响要大于产量变化对价格变化的影响。从维护国家粮食安全的角度出发,为保证粮食持续稳定增长和价格的相对稳定,提出了相应的政策建议。
This paper empirically analyzes grain output and its price fluctuation with econometrics method. The results show that they affect each other. The change in grain output has the lagging effect on the change in price, and so is grain price. Moreover, the influence of the change in price on the change in output is bigger than the influence of the change in output on the change in price. Therefore, from the perspective of national grain security, corresponding measures should be taken to promote the sustainable increase of grain and the relative stability of price.
出处
《经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期108-111,共4页
On Economic Problems
基金
国家社科基金项目"我国食品价格波动周期及平抑机制研究"(12BJY105)
湖北省教育厅人文社科研究资助项目(编号2008zs014
批准文号2008y129)
关键词
粮食产量
粮食价格
波动
脉冲响应函数
grain output
grain price
fluctuation
Impulse response function
