摘要
随着全球经济一体化的加速,对称均衡瓦解,世界经济的波动性增大。这样的经济环境会对服务贸易产生何种冲击?为了分析这个问题,本文基于扩展的引力模型,利用STAN Database中2000—2010年24个国家的双边服务贸易数据,从服务进口和出口两视角进行实证研究。结果显示:第一,服务贸易存在本土市场效应。第二,国家的经济稳定有助于提高服务贸易量,并且对服务业进口的促进作用高于服务业出口。第三,全球化不仅可以通过降低贸易成本,促进服务贸易;还能强化经济稳定国家在服务贸易中的比较优势。本文的研究构建了一个全球化、经济稳定和服务贸易的研究框架,为扭转中国服务贸易逆差提供了新的思路。
With the acceleration of global economic integration,the symmetric equilibrium collapse and volatility of the world economy worsen. What kind of impact such an economic environment will have on service trade? This paper has a research on this issue empirically from the perspective of both imports and exports of services based on extended gravity model. Our study utilizes the bilateral services trade data in STAN Data base from 2000 to 2010. The results indicate that: firstly,home market effect does exist in trade in services; Secondly,the country's economic stability is beneficial to enhance the service trade. In addition,it promotes the imports more obviously than the exports in service sector; thirdly,globalization can promote trade in services by reducing trade costs. At the same time,globalization can strengthen the comparative advantage of countries with high economic stability in service trade. Our study establishes a research framework of globalization, economic stability and trade in service. It will provide a new idea to reverse China's service trade deficit.
出处
《当代经济科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第6期98-108,126,共11页
Modern Economic Science
基金
2011年度教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目<扩大内需条件下提高长三角对外开放水平研究>(11JD790036)
关键词
全球化
双边服务贸易
引力模型
经济稳定
Globalization
Trade in Services
Gravity Model
Economic Stability
