摘要
基于全国性的农民工调查数据，文章在揭示农民工职业流动状况及特征的基础上，运用负二项回归模型和Logit模型分析了职业分层和代际差异对农民工职业流动的影响。研究表明，农民工的职业分层对其职业流动有显著影响，从事中端职业的农民工职业流动性最强，且其向上流动的动机也最为强烈。新生代农民工职业流动频率整体高于第一代农民工，尤以20-23岁的新生代农民工职业流动最为活跃，农民工的职业流动频率呈现出倒U型流动轨迹的特征。人力资本对农民工职业流动的影响主要表现在，人力资本积累程度越高，农民工的就业稳定性越高、职业流动性越弱，而这种影响主要来自于职业技术的提高。文章最后结合研究得出的观点和结论，探讨了本项研究的政策启示。
Based on the data from a national survey, this paper uses negative bionomial model and Logit model to analyze the influence of generational differences and occupational stratification to migrant workers＇ occupational mobility. The results show that there exist significant association between the migrant workers＇ occupational mobility and their occupational stratification. Those with jobs belonging to middle level have the strongest willing for upward mobility. Compared with the first generation, the new generation migrant workers especially those aged between 20 to 23 flow more frequently. Their occupational mobility results show an inverted U-type tendency. Migrant workers with more human capital are more likely to have stable employment. In the end of this paper, we put forward several policy implications base on these results.
出处
《人口与经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第5期89-97,共9页
Population & Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"城市流动人口服务管理问题研究"(11&ZD036)
关键词
农民工
职业流动
代际差异
职业分层
migrant workers
occupational mobility
generational difference
occupational stratification
