摘要
战略性新兴产业自主技术创新能力形成过程是一个动态的复杂系统。本文用系统分析方法,分析了战略性新兴产业自主技术创新能力形成的关键因素,通过构建因果关系图,揭示了系统内部各要素间的相互关系和循环作用过程;在此基础上,建立了系统动力学模型,以湖南航空航天产业的数据为例,运用Vensim软件对模型进行仿真模拟。结果表明,科技人才、创新环境和合作创新与创新产出之间均存在明显的正相关关系,建立的系统动力学模型能够较好地拟合实际系统,对加快战略性新兴产业自主技术创新能力形成具有重要的现实意义。
The forming process of independent technological innovation capability of strategic emerging industry is a dynamic complex system. The key factors of the forming of independent technological innovation capability of strategic emerging industry are analyzed by using system analysis method ; the mutual relationship and main feedback process of the system are revealed by building a causal graph. Accordingly, a system dynamical model is established and a simulation is also carried out through Vensim PLE, based on the data of Hunan aerospace industry. The results show that a significant positive correlation is exists between innovation output and scientific talents, innovation environment and cooperative innovation, and that the system dynamical model is in accordance with practical system, it also has important practical significance to speed up the forming process of independent technological innovation capability of strategic emerging industry.
出处
《系统工程》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2013年第7期78-86,共9页
Systems Engineering
基金
湖南省哲学社会科学基金重大委托项目(12WTA45)
湖南省哲学社会科学基金重点资助项目(11ZDB060)
国家自然科学基金委创新群体项目(71221061)
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(10JZD0020)
中央高校基本科研业务费项目(721500064)
湖南省哲学社会科学基金资助项目(2010YBB100)
湖南省研究生创新基金资助项目(CX2012B400)
关键词
战略性新兴产业
自主技术创新能力
系统动力学
仿真
Strategic Emerging Industry
Independent Technological Innovation Capability
System Dynamics
Simulation
