摘要
电力系统负荷预测的准确度和精度会对电力系统安全、稳定、经济、可靠性产生巨大影响。本文在对灰色系统理论的基础上,建立灰色系统电力负荷预测模型,并对模型应用到新疆北疆电网,对2020年电力负荷进行预测,其预测结果精度较为满意。灰色系统电力负荷预测是较为可靠的预测方法。
The accuracy and precision of electric system load have great influence on the safety, stability, economy, reliability of electricity system. Based on the theory of grey system, this paper built electric power load forecast model of gray system, which is applied to the north of Xinjiang power grid and used to forecast power load in 2020. The accuracy prediction results is satisfactory. Grey system electric load fore- cast model is a reliable method.
出处
《水资源与水工程学报》
2013年第3期165-168,共4页
Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering
关键词
灰色系统
电力负荷预测
北疆电网
grey system
electric system load forecast
power grid of north Xinjiang
