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释案推理原理及其在态势估计中的应用

Disabusing-Case Reasoning for Situation Assessment
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摘要 态势估计就是从当前相关对象间的关系中推导出有意义的结论,形成态势分析报告、情况判断结论和战场综合态势图,为决策和指挥提供支持。论文提出了基于释案推理的态势估计方法,该方法是"大胆猜测"敌作战意图和行动预案,然后根据实时检测到的事件"小心求证"敌作战意图和行动预案。当事件的发生对"大胆猜测"的结论支持比较小或相矛盾时,放弃原猜测,并根据以往事件作出新的猜测和动态调整战场态势图,达到为瞬息万变的战场决策提供充裕时间的目的,案例仿真证明基于释案推理的态势估计方法是有效的。 Situation assessment is that deducing meaningful conclusions from the relationship between the current related objects,producing the formation of the situational analysis,conclusions and battlefield situation map,providing support for the decision and command.The paper presents a method for situation assessment based on disabusing-case reasoning(DCR).It is that "bold guess" enemy combatants intent and action plans,and then carefully verify its operational intent and action plans based on real-time monitoring to the event.When the incident on "bold guess" to support a relatively small or contradictory,the original guess will be abandon,and a new guess based on past events is proposed.The trend is estimated again,once it has relatively ample time for the ever-changing battlefield decisions.Case demonstrates that DCR for the situation assessment is effective.
出处 《计算机与数字工程》 2013年第5期742-745,共4页 Computer & Digital Engineering
关键词 信息融合 释案推理 态势估计 information fusion DCR situation assessment
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