摘要
构建奥运奖牌动态模型,指出了奥运奖牌数的内禀增长率和最大容纳量,根据1984-2012年中国奥运会的成绩,采用线性回归对中国第31届奥运会的奖牌进行预测,得出金牌数为40枚,奖牌总数为95枚,奖牌数为203枚,通过F检验数据表明,回归方程是合理的、有意义的,这些数据将对我国体育训练起到参考作用.
In this paper we constructs the dynamic model of Olympic medal, points out the intrinsic growth rate and maximum capacity of Olympic medal numbers. Using the results of Chinese Olympic from 1984 to 2012 and linear regression, we forecast and analyze the result of Chinese Olympic Games in thirty-first session, and the gold medal number is 40, the total number of medals is 95, 203 is the total medal number, further F test data show that the regression equation is reasonable and meaningful. These data can play a reference role to future training plans of our country sports athletes.
出处
《河南师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
北大核心
2013年第2期24-26,60,共4页
Journal of Henan Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家体育总局体育哲学社会科学研究重点课题(1493SS10047)
关键词
预测
奥运会
奥运奖牌
线性回归
动态模型
Prediction
Olympic Games
Olympic medals
linear regression
dynamic model
