摘要
自改革开放以来,江苏省的经济取得了飞速发展。同时,江苏省对外贸易也出现了快速的增长。针对学术界对于对外贸易与经济发展关系的争论,通过对江苏省1985-2011年的相关数据的实证分析,运用变量之间的相关性检验、变量平稳性检验、变量协整检验、Granger因果关系检验等手段,揭示了净出口和经济增长存在长期稳定的关系。在结合江苏外贸实践、分析外贸数据的基础上,对江苏进出口的可持续发展提出了一些对策建议。
With the reform and opening up,Jiangsu Province‘s economy has witnessed rapid development and the foreign trade in Jiangsu Province has been growing rapidly.For aiming at academic debates over the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth,this paper,through the empirical analysis of Jiangsu Province in 1985-2011,carries out the correlation test between the variables,the variable stationarity test,the variable co-integration test,and Granger causality test,revealing the net exports and economic growth’s stable relationship in the long-term.Based on foreign trade practice in Jiangsu and the relevant data analysis,some countermeasures and suggestions for the sustainable development of foreign trade of Jiangsu province are put forward accordingly.
出处
《华东交通大学学报》
2013年第1期121-126,共6页
Journal of East China Jiaotong University
关键词
对外贸易
经济增长
实证研究
foreign trade
economic growth
empirical research
