摘要
在研究现有国际石油项目决策指标体系的基础上,结合海外油气项目决策的特殊性,综合长期因素和短期因素,构建了一个新的指标体系,用于海外项目的决策.新的指标体系中长期因素重点考虑国家石油安全、与资源国可持续合作、企业发展战略,短期指标考虑政治风险、投资预期收益等,并结合实例,选用灰色多层次分析法(GAHP),示范了在新指标体系基础上进行多方案决策的方法和步骤.
On the basis of existing international oil project decision-making index system,combining the special character of decision-making of overseas oil and gas project with the long-term and short-term factors,a new index system was constructed for the decision-making of overseas projects.The long-term factors of the new system focus on to the consideration of the national oil security,the sustainable cooperation with the resources country and the enterprises’ strategies.Short-term indicators include political risks,and the expected returns of investment.A concrete example is given here on the basis of the new system to show the methods and steps of multi-program decision-making by using the gray multi-level analysis（GAHP）.
出处
《甘肃科学学报》
2013年第1期148-150,共3页
Journal of Gansu Sciences
基金
教育部高校人文社科规划项目(10YJA630038)
山东省自然科学基金(ZR2012GM011)
研究生自主创新项目(12CX06005B)
关键词
海外油气项目
决策
指标
overseas oil and gas project
decision-making
index
