摘要
就国内外关于近百年的气候变化特征进行综述,并对太阳活动、火山爆发以及海气相互作用等自然因素对近百年气候变化的影响作了详细的总结。结果发现最近100年(1906—2005年)全球平均地表温度上升了0.56—0.92℃,中国的平均气温上升了(0.6±0.1)℃,但是20世纪全球和中国年平均降水没有明显的变化趋势。目前关于太阳活动、火山爆发和气候系统内部海气相互作用对于气候变化的影响,还存在很大的不确定性。
This article is an overview for the characteristics of climate change in recent one hundred years. The impacts of natural factors such as solar activity, volcanic eruptions and air-sea interaction on climate change is summarized. It is showed that the average surface temperature has risen 0.56℃--0.92℃ globally and 0.6±0. 1℃ in China from 1906 to 2005. However, there＇s no obvious change of the annual mean precipitation in the global region and in China. There is still a great uncertainty of the impacts of solar activity, volcanic eruptions and air-sea interaction on climate change.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
2013年第1期78-85,共8页
Marine Forecasts
基金
国家自然科学基金(40976015)
海洋公益性项目(201105019)
关键词
气候变化
太阳活动
火山爆发
海气相互作用
climate change
solar activity
volcanic eruptions
air sea interaction
