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基于WITNESS仿真的多计划期提前期牛鞭效应测度研究 被引量:1

Research on the Multi-planning of Lead Time Bullwhip Effect Measurement Based on Witness Simulation
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摘要 利用WITNESS仿真方法对生产过程建模并测定其产品生产周期的波动,可以得到以下结论,前一计划期生产波动会引起后一计划期生产以更加明显的波动,并且波动会沿着计划期阶段之间传递,并证实任务提前投产非但不能够获得预期的效果,反而很有可能会使情况变的更加糟糕,这非常有助于以后的提前期的测度与控制工作研究的开展。 Using WITNESS simulation model of the production process, the paper determines the volatility of product cycle and concludes as follows: the fluctuation in the first phase will generate more obvious fluctuation in the second phase, and fluctuations progressively transfer in the following phases; early production tasks will not only fail to achieve the desired production effect , but also make the situation worse, and lead to the uncertainty of measurement and control of cycle fluctuations, which provides a new insight.
作者 鲁雷
出处 《科技管理研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第24期220-222,255,共4页 Science and Technology Management Research
基金 教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"面向混流生产作业计划的约束理论控制方法研究"(08JA630033)
关键词 生产提前期 WITNESS仿真 牛鞭效应 测度研究 production lead time WITNESS simulation bullwhip effect measurement study
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