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清代华北地区冬半年温度变化重建与分析 被引量:17

Reconstruction and Analysis on the Series of Winter-half-year Temperature Change during the Qing Dynasty in the Northern China Region
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摘要 利用清代地方志中的异常初、终霜记载,根据器测时期华北初、终霜的早、晚与温度变化的关系,重建了1646-1910年华北地区时间分辨率为5年的冬半年温度距平序列,分析了期间的冷暖变化特征。结果表明:清代华北地区气候以寒冷为主要特征,冬半年温度平均较现代(1951-1980年)约低0.55℃,最冷5年(1656-1660年)较现代约低1.42℃;清代华北地区冬半年气候存在"冷—暖—冷"的世纪波动,两个寒冷时段起讫时间分别为1646-1700年(平均较现代约低0.77℃)和1781-1910年(平均较现代约低0.58℃),1701-1780年虽然相对较暖,但冬半年温度仍较现代略低(平均较现代约低0.36℃);从更高时间分辨率看,清代冷暖时段内同样存在较小的波动,清后期寒冷时段出现了两个"冷谷"。 Based on the records of irregular first and last frost dates from the historical documents during the Qing Dynasty,the winter-half-year temperatures in northern China region are reconstructed at a five-year resolution by applying a conversion function to the historical records obtained from examining the correlation between the changes of first and last frost dates and the changes of instrument-measured regional mean temperatures in more recent years.The characteristics of temperature changes in that period are analyzed.The results indicate that:(1) the climate in northern China region in the Qing Dynasty can be characterized as cold.The mean winter-half-year temperature of that time period in the region is 0.55℃ lower than that of the present time(1951-1980),with a 1.42℃ difference in the coldest five years(1656-1660).(2) The centennial scale climate variations show a"cold-warm-cold"pattern.The two cold periods appear around 1646-1700 and 1781-1910,when the winter-half-year temperature in northern China region is about 0.77℃and 0.58℃lower than that of the present days respectively.During the period of 1701-1780,the climate is relatively warm,but the winter-half-year temperature is still lower than that of the present days(by 0.36℃ difference).(3) At a higher time resolution,relatively small temperature fluctuations are observed within each cold and warm time period,with two"cold troughs"during the late Qing Dynasty(1781-1910).
出处 《地理科学进展》 CSCD 北大核心 2012年第11期1426-1432,共7页 Progress in Geography
基金 全球变化研究国家重大科学研究计划项目(2010CB950101) 中国科学院战略性先导科技专项项目(XDA05090101 XDA05090104) 科技基础性工作专项项目(2011FY120300) 国家自然科学基金项目(41271124)
关键词 温度重建 冬半年 中国华北地区 清代 temperature reconstruction winter-half-year the northern China region Qing Dynasty
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