摘要
一方面,民主化进程需要众多前提条件,诸如经济、阶级、文化等,是一个确定性的过程;另一方面,民主化进程又包含了许多机遇、意外与矛盾,又是一个不确定性的过程,而其中的政治精英,往往能影响这一不确定过程的最终结果。基于蒋经国与李登辉的比较分析,本文认为,台湾的民主化虽然以确定性的影响因素为前提条件,但是直接诱因是那些不确定性的因素,即:台湾民主化是李登辉在利益导向下为增强个人权力和地位而附带产生的结果。
On one hand, the process of democratization requires a number of preconditions, such as economy, class and culture etc,which is considered a deterministic process. On the other hand,the process of democratization also involves many opportunities, accidents and conflicts, which is, on the contrary, seen as an uncertain process, the result of which tends to be affect- ed by the view of the political elites on democratization Based on the comparative analysis between Chiang Ching-kuo and Lee Teng-hui ,we can draw the conclusion that the direct cause of the democratization in Taiwan involves more of the factors of uncertainty than the factors of certainty which are treated as the preconditions. In other words, the democratization of Taiwan re- suits from the pursuit of private power of Lee Teng-hui rather than from the pursuit of political elites.
出处
《台湾研究集刊》
CSSCI
2012年第5期33-41,共9页
Taiwan Research Journal
基金
教育部博士研究生学术新人奖(5052011115005)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(201111501020002)
关键词
民主的不确定性
民主化
政治精英
蒋经国
李登辉
indeterminacy of democracy, political elites, democratization, Chiang Ching-kuo, Lee Teng-hui
