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基于补偿和不可替代因素合成的人因可靠性分析方法 被引量:6

Method of human reliability analysis based on CSICF
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摘要 在安全性要求比较高的环境中.关键操作失误可能会导致灾难的发生,因此,评估关键操作的人因可靠性不仅能为系统灾难评估提供依据,而且有助于改善关键操作人员的训练水平及工作环境.本文从因素分解及合成的角度研究人因可靠性,定义补偿和不可替代因素,创建补偿和不可替代因素状态合成(composition of statcs ofirreplaceable and compensation factors,CSICF)方法.针对航天器发射工作流程特点,分析航天器发射人因可靠性因素空间和特性,构建航天器发射人因可靠性评估模型,并通过一个模拟实例说明了基于CSICF的人因可靠性分析方法的可行性. In a surrounding expected by the high safety, the critical operation errors could lead to a disaster, therefore, to assess human reliability for critical operator not only provides support for the estimate of the disaster of systems but also is useful to improve the level of training and the condition of the critical operators. In this paper, human reliability is researched by studying the decomposition and composition of factors, compensatory and irreplaceable factors are defined, and the method of composition of states of compensatory and irreplaceable factors (CSICF) is then established. For the characteristic of the basic flow of spacecraft launch engineering, the factors of space and the features of the human reliability of a spacecraft launch are analyzed and the overall human reliability model of spacecraft launch is constructed. Finally, a case analysis demonstrates the application of the human reliability assessment model of a spacecraft launch engineering, which validates the feasibility of the human reliability analysis method of CSICF.
出处 《系统工程理论与实践》 EI CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2012年第9期2087-2096,共10页 Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金 国家自然科学基金(70971131 71071156)
关键词 人因可靠性 工作组可靠性 补偿和不可替代因素状态合成 因素空间 航天器发射 human reliability crew reliability the factors (CSICF) factors space spacecraft launch composition for states of compensatory and irreplaceable
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参考文献24

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