摘要
中部省份处于快速崛起和城市化的进程中,而能源需求特征使得碳减排相对困难。基于中部六省1996—2008的数据,引入出口、城市化等因素,运用动态面板模型分析碳排放的影响因素。研究表明产业结构、出口和城市化率对碳排放具有正效应,人均收入和能源价格为负效应。在此基础上,提出了调整产业结构、控制出口和延缓城市化速度等对策建议。
Central provinces are experiencing the process of rapid development and urbanization,but the characteristics of energy demand make carbon emission reduction becomes relatively difficult.Based on the data from 1996 to 2008 in six central provinces,this paper aims to analyze the influencing factors of carbon emission with dynamic panel data model by integrating the factors of export and urbanization.The study shows that industrial structure,export and the ratio of urbanization have positive effect on carbon emission,while per capita income and energy price have negative effect on carbon emission.On the basis of the above results,this paper puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions such as adjusting the industrial structure,controlling the export and slowing down the speed of urbanization.
出处
《广西财经学院学报》
2012年第1期42-46,共5页
Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"计量经济模型的经验似然方法研究"(10CTJ004)
广西哲学社会科学项目"广西区域碳排放的决定因素与减排策略研究"(11BGL013)
广西人文社会科学发展研究中心"泛北部湾发展研究团队"阶段性建设成果
关键词
中部六省
碳排放
动态面板
GMM估计
six central provinces
carbon emission
dynamic panel data
GMM estimation
