摘要
基于国内外理论研究,通过定性、定量、因果以及总体与局部等不同的视角,通过建立双对数模型和关联模型,用格兰杰因果检验等方法分析了中国产业结构变动与能源消费之间的关系。研究证实:中国产业结构变动与能源消费之间存在密切关系;在产业结构中,如果能耗水平高的产业比重大,整个国民经济的能源消费量就高;能源消费除了与三次产业之间的变动有关,还与各产业内部结构有关。
Based on the domestic and foreign theoretical study, this article through the establishment of double logarithmic model, relational model, using Eviews5. 0 software Granger causality test method to analyzes the relationship between industrial structure change and energy consumption in China by metric model through different views such as quantitative, qualitative, cause, overall and partial. The results show that change of Chinese industrial structure and energy consumption are closely related. In industrial structure, the energy consumption of the entire national economy will increase if the ratio of industry with high energy comsuption is big. Energy consumption also have the relationship with the internal structure of industry besides three industry changes.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
2012年第2期30-35,共6页
Journal of Statistics and Information
基金
陕西省自然科学基金项目<陕西省资源-环境-经济复合系统诊断评价与管理研究>(210JM9008)
第二次全国经济普查办公室招标重点项目<我国产业结构与节能降耗研究>(JP068)
关键词
产业结构
能源消费
格兰杰因果检验
回归模型
industrial structure
energy consumption
Granger test
regression model
