摘要
大型飞机的研制过程面临着各种动态风险。认识这些风险的分布规律,是应对风险的重要前提。针对大型飞机研制风险,主要包括环境风险、技术风险和管理风险三大类,建立了大型飞机研制项目风险的分布的极大熵模型,并对某型号飞机研制项目风险分布进行了实证研究。
The R＆D project of large airplane face various risks. Recognizing the distribution of these risks is an important foundation to cope with the risks. Large airplane R＆D project risk analysis is focused on. The risks in large airplane R＆D project include environmental risk, technological risk and management risk. The maximum entropy model of the probability distribution of the risks in large airplane R＆D project is created. And it is used to study the probability distribution of the risk occurrence in an aircraft project.
出处
《科学技术与工程》
2011年第34期8546-8551,共6页
Science Technology and Engineering
基金
国家自然科学(90924022
70971064
71002046)资助
关键词
大型飞机
研制项目风险
极大熵
large airplanes risk in R＆D project maximum entropy
