摘要
根据可持续发展理念,构建包含旅游、人口、社会、资源与环境五大子系统的旅游可持续发展系统.在分析旅游可持续发展系统内部各要素内在关联及动态行为的基础上,基于系统动力学理论,建立旅游可持续发展的系统动力学模型.运用系统动力学建模软件VENSIM,对西藏旅游可持续发展进行了仿真模拟.通过对关键要素指标的调控,提出西藏旅游业应走兼顾环境保护、基础设施投资、专业人才培养、旅游法规制定、旅游企业以及企业员工等要素的可持续发展模式,为西藏旅游可持续发展的科学管理提供决策依据.
Based on sustainable development theory, sustainable tourism development system was established which was made up of population subsystem, society subsystem, resource subsystem, environment subsystem and tourism subsystem. A system dynamics model, which could describe the relations among the components in the sustainable tourism development system and its development, was built, using sys- tem dynamics. The system dynamical model was realized by software tool VENSIM. As an application of this model, a simulation was carried on of sustainable tourism development in Tibet. A best development pattern is presented through regulation of several key indexes, aiding to promote sustainable tourism development in Tibet.
出处
《系统工程理论与实践》
EI
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2011年第11期2101-2107,共7页
Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice
基金
国家自然科学基金(41001077)
国家社会科学基金(06BMZ008)
国家民委基金(09XZ07)
关键词
旅游业
可持续发展
系统动力学
仿真
西藏
tourism
sustainable development
system dynamics
simulation
Tibet
