摘要
在"十二五"规划中,我国提出了"全面振兴东北地区等老工业基地"的战略,但是作为东北地区经济助推动力之一的出口发展较为薄弱,敏感度不甚相同。所以,基于开放的经济环境,东北地区发挥出口增长的拉动效应、促进经济增长是当务之急。随着与国外地区经济往来的不断深入,汇率因素发挥了越来越重要的作用,协整检验和状态空间模型表明,汇率对东北地区出口的影响程度不断增强,为了应对汇率变动所带来的压力,东北地区应加强传统出口农产品的科技研究,改善出口结构,提升出口竞争力。
In the twelfth ＂ Five -year Plan＂, ＂comprehensive revitalization of old industrial base in Northeast China＂ was put forward. As one of the econmnie drivers, export develops weakly and export sensitivity is different. Therefore, on the basis of open economy, northeast region should exert the pulling effect of export growth and promote economic growth. With the development of economic relations with foreign countries, exchange rate plays more and more important roles. Through cointegration test and state space model, the article shows that the influence degree of exchange rate on export in northeast region is strengthening. To cope with the pressure from exchange rate changes, northeast region should strengthen agrieultural product research, imnrove exoort structure, and increase export competitiveness.
出处
《东北亚论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第6期98-104,共7页
Northeast Asia Forum
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"完善人民币汇率形成机制及应对升值压力研究"(11BJY141)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"汇率与国际收支协动变化的中国经济发展模式研究"(10YJC790164)
