摘要
对刘易斯二元经济理论进行梳理和再认识,运用刘易斯转折点及发展含义分析了"民工荒"及农民工工资上涨并不证明刘易斯转折点到来,放弃刘易斯二元经济模型劳动者同质的假设,利用基于民工异质的刘易斯改造模型,根据农民工正处于代际交替及"质"的差异性明显的事实,构建了引入代际异质的刘易斯模型,该模型能同时解释"民工潮"和"民工荒"产生的原理,并证明了"民工荒"是现行工资未达到新生代农民工保留工资水平的结果,而不是刘易斯转折点到来所致。结论是:中国不仅尚未达到刘易斯转折点,甚至未达到刘易斯第一转折点,仍然处于二元经济发展阶段,还有较多剩余劳动力需要转移;"用工荒"是现行工资低于新生代农民工保留工资的结果,因此提高农民工工资是解决"用工荒"的根本途径。
This article first summaries Lewis＇ Dual Economic Theory,then analyses the phenomenon of ＂the shortage of peasant-workers＂ from the perspective of Lewis＇ turning-point and development,and reveals that peasant-workers＇ wage rise does not justify the arrival of Lewis＇ turning point.It abandons the Labor Homogeneity Hypothesis of Lewis＇ Dual Economic Model,and then constructs a refashioned Lewis＇ Model based on intergeneration heterogeneity according to the fact that peasant-workers are at a stage of intergeneration inheritance and there are obvious genesis differences.This new model can interpret both ＂the tide of peasant labors＂ and ＂the shortage of peasant-workers＂.The result shows that the economy of China has not yet reached Lewis＇ turning point;it still remains at the dual economy development stage;there are more than a few surplus-labors need to be transferred;and ＂the shortage of peasant-workers＂ is caused by the fact that the prevailing wage of peasant-workers has not reached the retaining pay level of the new generation peasant-workers.Therefore,wage rise is a basic way to solve the peasant-worker shortage problem.
出处
《华南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2011年第4期53-61,共9页
Journal of South China Agricultural University(Social Science Edition)
基金
农业部软科学项目(Z200916)
广东省人文社科基地重大项目(粤科技字[2008]105)
关键词
刘易斯转折点
刘易斯二元经济模型
新生代农民工
代际交替
Lewis Turning-Point
Lewis Dual Economic Theory
New Generation Peasant-workers
Intergeneration Inheritance
