摘要
学术界对中国古代、近代经济史上的"GDP"研究似有升温趋势,然而其中存在的问题却具有普遍性,有碍于更加真实地认识中国古代、近代社会和进行跨国家、跨社会的比较。主要的问题在于,认识和估算的思路进入了误区,偏离了"GDP"的规范定义。中国经济史"GDP"研究中的具体方法也有诸多不尽如人意处。运用计量模型推导"GDP",对于模型设计的合理性和基础性数据的的积累是至关重要的。因此,不宜把"GDP"作为将中国古代传统社会或中国近代二元转型社会与西方资本主义国家作比较时的主要普世价值评价标准,尤其不宜用偏离定义或模型有缺陷的估计或计量方法得出的"GDP"数字来进行比较。这样的比较会造成以下的结果:(1)会以不规范的偏离程度很大的"GDP"数字来不恰当地衡量中国经济的发展水平;(2)掩盖了中国近代二元经济结构的事实;(3)掩盖了中国古代市场十分有限的事实;(4)掩盖了市场制度、社会制度、政治制度的差异。社会转型的评价标准是多维的,在很多时候,"GDP"并不能成为主要的评价标准。
The study of GDP in ancient and modern Chinese economic history has gained popularity in academia recently. But among these scholarly attempts, some general problems emerge, which hinder us from understanding ancient and modern Chinese society in its real sense; it also poses disadvantages for making cross-country and cross-societal comparisons. The main error lies in the evaluation approach they use which deviates from the standardized definition of GDP. Their measurements are also questionable in many respects. Since most scholars use econometric models for GDP calculation, model design and the accumulation of baseline data are crucial components. It is not advisable to use GDP as a universal standard for comparing China＇ s dualistic transition （during ancient transitional society and modern society） with Western capitalist countries.
出处
《学术月刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第10期74-81,共8页
Academic Monthly
关键词
“GDP”研究
中国古代近代
经济史
计量
普世价值
GDP research, ancient and modern China, economic history, econometric methodology, universal standard
