摘要
根据1985—2009年中国能源需求和经济增长统计数据,运用Granger因果关系检验、单位根检验、协整检验、误差修正模型方法进行实证分析。结果表明中国能源需求与经济增长之间存在着双向的Granger因果关系。能源需求与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,能源消费弹性系数为0.58,即经济增长每增加1%,对能源的需求量将增加0.58%。
An empirical analysis is made of on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth by using Granger causality test,unit root rest,co-integration test,error correction model according to the corresponding data from 1985 to 2009 in China.It showed that there was double-direction causality and the long-term stable equilibrium relationship between energy consumption and economic growth.Elasticity coefficient of energy consumption is 0.58.That is to say,if the value of economic growth increases by 1 percent,the energy consumption would increase by 0.58 percent.
出处
《科学技术与工程》
2011年第12期2874-2877,共4页
Science Technology and Engineering
基金
黑龙江省高等学校人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(10E006)资助
关键词
能源需求
经济增长
协整检验
energy consumption economic growth co-integration test
